le pen thrives among french poor shows vote analysis
Last Updated : GMT 06:49:16
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today
Last Updated : GMT 06:49:16
Arab Today, arab today

Le Pen thrives among French poor, shows vote analysis

Arab Today, arab today

Arab Today, arab today Le Pen thrives among French poor, shows vote analysis

Marine Le Pen, left, French National Front (FN) political party candidate for French 2017 presidential
Paris - Arab today

Marine Le Pen's protectionist, anti-establishment message resonated most in parts of France with lower incomes, lower life expectancy and lower education levels, a Reuters analysis of voting in Sunday's first round shows.

However there was no evidence that she scored particularly highly among young voters this time, many of whom backed hard-left campaigner Jean-Luc Melenchon. Moreover, it was not clear that she fared better in rural communities than in towns as some analysts have suggested. 

Ahead of a May 7 runoff against centrist Emmanuel Macron, these are some conclusions that can be drawn by plotting Le Pen's scores in France's 'departments' - similar to counties - against government data on key social and economic factors.

Surveying Le Pen's results against more than a dozen such measures, the data suggest her message played particularly well in low-income areas with higher numbers of school dropouts.

In fact, for each 1,000-euro drop in the median income in a given area, Le Pen scored nearly two extra percentage points, according to a Reuters calculation using results and data from the Social Affairs Ministry.

Meanwhile, life expectancy for women tends to run nearly five years shorter than the average 85.2 in departments where Le Pen scored high and nearly three years lower than the average male expectancy of 79.1.

But among the variables surveyed, education levels are the most revealing. The percentage of under-35 voters to have left school without a diploma has a heavy 60 per cent correlation to Le Pen's scores.

In statistics, correlation is measured between zero and 100 per cent - the higher the count the closer the link.One exception to that trend is Paris' northern working-class suburb of Seine-Saint-Denis, a traditional stronghold of the left, where over one-in-four 25-34 year-olds did not finish school. There, she won only 13.6 per cent of the vote, coming in after Melenchon and Macron.

Unemployment is also a major factor explaining where Le Pen did best with the jobless rate by department 58 per cent correlated with her scores.

Perhaps unsurprisingly given her anti-immigrant stance, departments with high levels of foreign-born populations tended to vote less for Le Pen, notably those areas concentrated around Paris and its suburbs.

And although Le Pen scored high in some rural departments, that was not systematically the case.

Similarly, although she did poorly in some more urbanised departments, she also did well in some more densely populated areas.

Ahead of the vote, surveys suggested Le Pen was faring much better among voters under-25 than among the population at large, often by a margin as high as 7 percentage points. But in the end there was little evidence that age was a determining factor in her share of the vote.

A study by pollsters Ipsos of the first round results may explain why that was the case: while it found that 21 per cent of 18 to 24-year-old voters backed her - largely the same as for the population as a whole - a massive 30 per cent opted for her hard-left rival Melenchon.

 

Source: Timesofoman

arabstoday
arabstoday

Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

le pen thrives among french poor shows vote analysis le pen thrives among french poor shows vote analysis

 



Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

le pen thrives among french poor shows vote analysis le pen thrives among french poor shows vote analysis

 



GMT 14:58 2017 Tuesday ,28 February

Humans spark most US wildfires

GMT 00:49 2017 Tuesday ,28 February

New vehicle scanner to ease Oman border rush

GMT 10:50 2018 Monday ,08 January

L'anza unveils sprayable styling paste Airpaste

GMT 16:40 2012 Monday ,20 February

New Ferrari Enzo

GMT 13:47 2013 Friday ,22 March

FM: Greece takeover process of Cypriot banks

GMT 19:13 2017 Monday ,16 October

6 wounded in USA oil rig blaze near New Orleans

GMT 16:34 2016 Sunday ,25 September

Pakistani air force jet crashes, killing pilot

GMT 20:53 2017 Wednesday ,14 June

Media council abandon complaint against writer

GMT 20:59 2017 Tuesday ,31 October

IMF official says Egypt's economy

GMT 15:19 2017 Wednesday ,29 November

Five things to watch out for in 2018

GMT 02:04 2017 Saturday ,18 November

To solve N.Ireland border issue

GMT 03:18 2017 Sunday ,05 November

Curva rebrands as FROW Magazine

GMT 22:16 2018 Wednesday ,17 January

GCC Chief meets UN Envoy to Yemen

GMT 13:05 2011 Thursday ,23 June

Irish Derby to be bigger and exciting
Arab Today, arab today
 
 Arab Today Facebook,arab today facebook  Arab Today Twitter,arab today twitter Arab Today Rss,arab today rss  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube

Maintained and developed by Arabs Today Group SAL.
All rights reserved to Arab Today Media Group 2025 ©

Maintained and developed by Arabs Today Group SAL.
All rights reserved to Arab Today Media Group 2025 ©

arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday
بناية النخيل - رأس النبع _ خلف السفارة الفرنسية _بيروت - لبنان
arabstoday, Arabstoday, Arabstoday