Arab Today, arab today why is ahmadinejad coming back
Last Updated : GMT 21:52:43
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today

Why is Ahmadinejad coming back?

Arab Today, arab today

Arab Today, arab today why is ahmadinejad coming back

Dr. Majid Rafizadeh

In 2015, when there was no expectation of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s comeback, or talk of his potential registration for Iran’s 2017 presidential elections, I wrote that he “can present a viable challenge to the incumbent President Hassan Rouhani” in this year’s vote.

I meant that Ahmadinejad could use his political weight and populism, and could capitalize on people’s economic grievances and hard-liners’ criticism of Rouhani, to campaign and rally the hard-liners’ social base behind another hard-line candidate, not for his own presidency. Running for himself is very unlikely due to reluctance among Iran’s top echelons of powers.

Iran’s presidential elections are unpredictable and complex. An example of the complexity is that many candidates register not to run personally but to rally support and mobilize their social base for another candidate. This is likely why Ahmadinejad is registering.

His insatiable hunger for power, media attention and status has caused tensions with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Ahmadinejad’s registration gives him the international spotlight he yearns for, and a possibility to be part of the next presidential team if the candidate he supports wins.

By examining his domestic activities in the last few years, it seems he was preparing to enter politics again. He was traveling to cities, criticizing Rouhani and launching a domestic political campaign ahead of the latest parliamentary elections.

Former presidents harshly attacking the sitting one is rare in Iran. Ahmadinejad began capitalizing on the fact that Rouhani’s economic plans and promises were not delivering relief to the overwhelming majority of Iranians.

Although the nuclear deal lifted four rounds of economic sanctions against Iran, the major beneficiaries of oil exports and additional billions of dollars are Khamenei, his circle of power and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Rouhani’s stance toward the US was also viewed as weak by hard-liners. As such, the environment is ripe for Ahmadinejad to challenge him electorally.

Although Ahmadinejad’s presidency ended in 2013 with the lowest popular vote compared to his predecessors, the socioeconomic situation has since changed. Many Iranians may not like him personally, but his policies of providing monthly cash handouts and subsidies are popular among the poor, particularly after Rouhani cut many social welfares.

So Ahmadinejad can campaign for his favorite candidate because he is popular in rural areas, and among the poor and lower middle class. But he may split hard-line votes, which could increase Rouhani’s odds of victory.

Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

Arab Today, arab today why is ahmadinejad coming back Arab Today, arab today why is ahmadinejad coming back

 



Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today Sumaya Abu Shadi reveals her 2017 collection

GMT 13:37 2017 Friday ,21 April

Sumaya Abu Shadi reveals her 2017 collection
Arab Today, arab today New Zealand considering extra security

GMT 11:56 2017 Wednesday ,26 April

New Zealand considering extra security
Arab Today, arab today Egyptian designer revives Easter Day in her designs
Arab Today, arab today Assad's future 'not a deal breaker' on Syria

GMT 09:15 2017 Wednesday ,26 April

Assad's future 'not a deal breaker' on Syria
Arab Today, arab today A chaotic discovery of power

GMT 09:59 2017 Tuesday ,25 April

A chaotic discovery of power

GMT 09:06 2017 Wednesday ,19 April

Trump — from Syria to North Korea

GMT 10:02 2017 Tuesday ,18 April

Working with Assad to do what?

GMT 09:58 2017 Tuesday ,18 April

Why is Ahmadinejad coming back?

GMT 11:58 2017 Friday ,14 April

Trump’s missile message to Assad: What next?

GMT 11:37 2017 Wednesday ,12 April

Ridwan Al-Sayyid wins prize for Islamic studies

GMT 13:04 2017 Tuesday ,11 April

Counter-propaganda on US strikes in Syria
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today Meziane Meryan ruled out leaking of coming exams

GMT 16:53 2017 Thursday ,20 April

Meziane Meryan ruled out leaking of coming exams
Arab Today, arab today Oprah Winfrey conquers acting fears

GMT 16:35 2017 Monday ,24 April

Oprah Winfrey conquers acting fears
Arab Today, arab today More Antarctic protections urged

GMT 09:29 2017 Tuesday ,25 April

More Antarctic protections urged
Arab Today, arab today Prepares to give stargazers an eyeful

GMT 13:38 2017 Monday ,06 March

Prepares to give stargazers an eyeful
Arab Today, arab today Hyundai Motor posts 21% drop

GMT 08:22 2017 Wednesday ,26 April

Hyundai Motor posts 21% drop
Arab Today, arab today Volvo profits lifted by strong lorry demand

GMT 11:31 2017 Tuesday ,25 April

Volvo profits lifted by strong lorry demand
Arab Today, arab today Dolli Shahin denies participation in Ramadan

GMT 09:27 2017 Monday ,24 April

Dolli Shahin denies participation in Ramadan
Arab Today, arab today Cold snap threatens French vines

GMT 09:25 2017 Saturday ,22 April

Cold snap threatens French vines

GMT 07:35 2017 Monday ,24 April

Poussy happy for success of “Yegalo Amer”

GMT 15:44 2017 Saturday ,15 April

Yemeni women live tragic situations

GMT 15:39 2017 Monday ,17 April

Sana Boazzawy reveals her recent designs

GMT 10:15 2017 Friday ,21 April

Degraded coral imperils coastal people

GMT 12:35 2017 Monday ,24 April

First Large-Scale Malaria Vaccine Trials

GMT 08:45 2017 Monday ,24 April

Syrian refugees are New York tourists

GMT 06:31 2015 Thursday ,04 June

Pluto's unruly moons

GMT 01:30 2017 Saturday ,22 April

Apple unveils updated iPad with lowest-ever price

GMT 10:04 2017 Saturday ,15 April

Baia Susi recycles plastic to shopping bags
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today
 
 Arab Today Facebook,arab today facebook  Arab Today Twitter,arab today twitter Arab Today Rss,arab today rss  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube
arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday
بناية النخيل - رأس النبع _ خلف السفارة الفرنسية _بيروت - لبنان
arabstoday, Arabstoday, Arabstoday