Arab Today, arab today oil supplies could surge to 29mbd by 2020
Last Updated : GMT 19:44:17
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today

Oil supplies could surge to 29mbd by 2020

Arab Today, arab today

Arab Today, arab today Oil supplies could surge to 29mbd by 2020

Baghdad - Arabstoday

Iraq is forecast to increase capacity from 2.5 mbd in 2010 to 7.6 mbd in 2020, thus downgrading the numbers set out in contracts signed between Iraq and oil companies, where over 12 mbd was targeted by 2017. However, there is a new revision in the offing and the Ministry of Oil in Iraq is now targeting 8 mbd in 2020, thereby exonerating Iraqi experts who criticised the companies’ targets in the first place.While nobody doubts Iraq’s potential, it remains to be seen whether logistical problems of supplies, water injection and export facilities can be resolved for the more modest numbers to be realised. Shale oil formation The US is a different story where production capacity could increase to 3.5 mbd in the period under consideration. The capacity increase from shale oil formations was known a long time ago, but their production technology was not well developed and expensive as well. The situation is now different and shale oil production, following in the footsteps of shale gas production, is now in full swing. But, there are still problems facing the “fracking revolution” as the process is known. The environmental risks and water supply logistics are always challenging factors and public opposition to hydraulic fracturing could also slow development. The author admits that “a revolution in environmental technology and emission curbing technology is required to sustain the development of most unconventional oil”. The quality of oil produced (light and low sulphur) and the inadequacy of the US pipeline system may also slow development. US refineries are used to heavier and more sour crudes and it is not possible by law to export crude oil from the US even if it is to exchange it by a more appropriate grade. Brazil deep water pre-salt discoveries are enormous and capacity could increase by 2.5 mbd. The country already demonstrated its determination and ability to go ahead with development to bring Brazil’s capacity to 4.5 mbd in 2020. Canada is also going ahead in further development of its tar sands in the face of declining conventional oil production. Canada’s production capacity is likely to increase from 3.3 mbd to 5.5 mbd by 2020 unless the widespread environmental opposition slows down development. Mature oil fields Other capacity increases are much smaller and distributed among a large number of countries, with the exception of Norway, UK, Mexico and Iran where production capacity is predicted to fall. The first two countries’ fields are mature and have been declining for some time and new discoveries and developments are not sufficient to counter the trend. Mexico’s decline may be for the same reasons in addition to the lack of sufficient investment and the absence of international oil companies, according to the author of the report. Iran’s decline is strictly attributed to the various sanctions on the country where new technology and fresh investment are finding it increasingly difficult to enter the play. Iran needs $180 billion in investment to maintain production from current fields and develop new ones inside the next few years. This does not seem to be possible. According to the author, the consequences of such a scenario are that spare production capacity will increase from the current 4 mbd (too high by most estimates) to over 10 mbd in 2020 and a possible decline or even collapse of oil prices to below $50 a barrel. While such predictions should be taken seriously and development should be carefully monitored by oil producers, the author uses a depletion factor of 2 to 3 per cent a year for current oil fields. While this is welcome to preserve producers’ resources, other analysis by the International Energy Agency suggest that depletion factors are much higher and could reach 10 per cent by 2030. Therefore, the future may not be as bright as the author suggests for production and may not be gloomy for prices either if his depletion factor is adjusted realistically. from gulfnews.com

arabstoday
arabstoday

Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

Arab Today, arab today oil supplies could surge to 29mbd by 2020 Arab Today, arab today oil supplies could surge to 29mbd by 2020

 



Arab Today, arab today

Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

Arab Today, arab today oil supplies could surge to 29mbd by 2020 Arab Today, arab today oil supplies could surge to 29mbd by 2020

 



Arab Today, arab today France defies terrorism through tourism

GMT 15:18 2017 Saturday ,20 May

France defies terrorism through tourism
Arab Today, arab today Zainab Fadel Oglu designs “Shakerin” mosque

GMT 12:13 2017 Thursday ,11 May

Zainab Fadel Oglu designs “Shakerin” mosque
Arab Today, arab today Seeks to move past rift with Israel

GMT 08:00 2017 Monday ,08 May

Seeks to move past rift with Israel
View News in Arabic - Business: نفط وبتروكيماويات
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today Mozambique's gas boom dream under threat

GMT 16:29 2017 Monday ,08 May

Mozambique's gas boom dream under threat
Arab Today, arab today Prepares to give stargazers an eyeful

GMT 13:38 2017 Monday ,06 March

Prepares to give stargazers an eyeful
Arab Today, arab today Jaguar displays XF Sportbrake line

GMT 14:36 2017 Monday ,08 May

Jaguar displays XF Sportbrake line
Arab Today, arab today BMW sees forecasts in reach

GMT 09:04 2017 Thursday ,04 May

BMW sees forecasts in reach
Arab Today, arab today Climate science: Bad news gets worse

GMT 08:48 2017 Saturday ,06 May

Climate science: Bad news gets worse
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today
 
 Arab Today Facebook,arab today facebook  Arab Today Twitter,arab today twitter Arab Today Rss,arab today rss  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube
arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday
بناية النخيل - رأس النبع _ خلف السفارة الفرنسية _بيروت - لبنان
arabstoday, Arabstoday, Arabstoday